Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.29	1.32
	3.48	1.37
	3.23	1.35	Watch
	3.65	1.31
	3.33	1.35	Watch
	3.3	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.36)	1.33 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
28.2%

Alex De Minaur
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botic Van De Zandschulp's performance.

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex De Minaur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 2 - 25%). De Minaur will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 30.5 Games - over (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 70. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Van De Zandschulp won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.35%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Jan Choinski - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
27.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Joao Fonseca - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Arthur Fils - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Arthur Fery - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Quentin Halys - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur	0:3
Davis Cup World Group
22.11.22	Alex De Minaur - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1

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