Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	10	1.06	Watch
	9.6	1.06	Watch
	10.32	1.08
	8.57	1.07	Watch
	7.5	1.08	Watch
	12.3	1.05	Watch
	9.5	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.68 ↑ (5.21)	1.06 ↓ (1.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
9.9%

Novak Djokovic
90.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

81.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botic Van De Zandschulp's form might have worsened.

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novak Djokovic's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Djokovic will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van De Zandschulp: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Van De Zandschulp (votes: 2 - 50%). Djokovic (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6 Games - Djokovic (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Van De Zandschulp (2.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Van De Zandschulp (4.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 32 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Van De Zandschulp (votes: 6 - 60%). Djokovic (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 75. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.

In this match, Djokovic is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Van De Zandschulp won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juncheng Shang	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Brandon Nakashima - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	N/A
11.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	N/A
10.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WW???

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Novak Djokovic - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2
ATP Astana
06.10.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Novak Djokovic	0:2

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