Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Rafael Jodar		Michael Zheng

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.86
	2.02	1.84
	2.11	1.68	Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.86	Watch
	2.07	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
47.5%

Michael Zheng
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Michael Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Zheng than the current prediction. (+4%)

Rafael Jodar - Michael Zheng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zheng (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 309. Zheng is ranked ATP: 228.

Jodar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zheng is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zheng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Zheng will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- Michael Zheng
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Michael Zheng - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Michael Zheng - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Michael Zheng - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Michael Zheng - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Michael Zheng - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

Rafael Jodar - Michael Zheng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide