Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Kamil Majchrzak		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.64	2.4
	1.35	3.21	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.66	2.37	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamil Majchrzak
60.2%

Leandro Riedi
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kamil Majchrzak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leandro Riedi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	2.6%	23.7%

Kamil Majchrzak - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Majchrzak will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Riedi will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Majchrzak: 61.9% – 89.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Majchrzak (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Riedi (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 76. Riedi is ranked ATP: 435.

Majchrzak is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Riedi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Majchrzak could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Hugo Dellien - Kamil Majchrzak	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Nuno Borges - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
26.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Luka Pavlovic - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW

Kamil Majchrzak - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide