Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Brandon Nakashima		Titouan Droguet

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.80
	1.28	3.65	Watch
	1.28	4.30
	1.27	3.79	Watch
	1.26	4.05	Watch
	1.29	3.79	Watch
	1.28	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	3.88 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
75.2%

Titouan Droguet
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Titouan Droguet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Titouan Droguet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brandon Nakashima - Titouan Droguet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 31. Droguet is ranked ATP: 119.

Now, both players are in good form.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nakashima is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 69.64%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW
- Titouan Droguet
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Titouan Droguet - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Titouan Droguet - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
03.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
22.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 W?WWL

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