Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Luciano Darderi		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.13
	1.68	2.31
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.17	Watch
	1.69	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	2.17 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
56.1%

Ben Shelton
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Shelton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.1%	0%	46.9%

Luciano Darderi - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Shelton will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Shelton (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 Games - Shelton (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Shelton (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 47. Shelton is ranked ATP: 15.

Darderi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shelton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
06.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 W?WWW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Borna Gojo - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.25	Ben Shelton - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL

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