Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Brandon Holt

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.58
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.42	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.64)	1.57 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
39.8%

Brandon Holt
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Brandon Holt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Holt than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Holt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Brandon Holt Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Holt will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holt: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 65. Holt is ranked ATP: 116.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Holt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Holt will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
01.03.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- Brandon Holt
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Martin Damm - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches