Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Musetti		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	1.07	9	Watch
	1.08	7.25	Watch
	1.08	8.4	Watch
	1.08	9.27
	1.07	8.15	Watch
	1.08	7.5	Watch
	1.07	8.2	Watch
	1.08	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 (1.08)	8.27 ↑ (8)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
88.5%

Otto Virtanen
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lorenzo Musetti - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Virtanen will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 130.

Musetti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Virtanen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Madrid
02.05.25	Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Otto Virtanen - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Otto Virtanen	✺

Lorenzo Musetti - Otto Virtanen