Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.81	2.04
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.71	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)	1.99 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
53.1%

Otto Virtanen
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Federico Arnaboldi - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Virtanen will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Virtanen (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 194. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 130.

In recent matches, Arnaboldi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Virtanen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Thiago Monteiro - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Otto Virtanen - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	August Holmgren - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Federico Arnaboldi - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide