Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.98	1.79
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.86	1.93
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
49.6%

Francesco Passaro
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlo Alberto Caniato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caniato will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 318., and Passaro is ranked ATP: 229..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Caniato may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Caniato has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlo Alberto Caniato - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.3%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Luka Mikrut - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Francesco Forti - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jay Clarke - Carlo Alberto Caniato	Clarke J. Retired ✺
24.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLW?W
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Alejandro Juan Mano - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Francesco Passaro - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Francesco Passaro	1:2

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