Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	1.01	26	Watch
	1.01	17	Watch
	1.01	16.29	Watch
	1.01	21
	1.01	9.7	Watch
	1.01	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	17.83 ↑ (14.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
94.6%

Yannick Hanfmann
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.7%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 102.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
10.01.26	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
08.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Zachary Svajda	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Benjamin Hassan	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Terence Atmane - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Liam Broady - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0
ATP Challenger
11.09.19	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0

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