Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Casper Ruud		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.32	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.24	Watch
	1.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.22 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
70.5%

Alejandro Tabilo
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	0%	8.6%

Casper Ruud - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.16% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 6. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 31.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ruud is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ruud won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Casper Ruud - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Casper Ruud - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Casper Ruud - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Casper Ruud	Pacheco Mendez R. walkover ✺
24.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WL?WL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.25	Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Santiago
26.02.20	Alejandro Tabilo - Casper Ruud	0:2

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