Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Casper Ruud		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.45
	1.34	3.59
	1.28	3.69	Watch
	1.32	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	3.58 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
73.3%

Aleksandar Vukic
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Casper Ruud - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vukic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vukic (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Ruud (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 4 - 80%). Vukic (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 12. Vukic is ranked ATP: 95.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ruud is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ruud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Casper Ruud - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
19.09.25	Casper Ruud - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Raphael Collignon - Casper Ruud	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Sebastian Ofner - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Damir Dzumhur - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Casper Ruud	2:0

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