Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Alexander Bublik		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.4	Watch
	1.23	4.7
	1.24	3.92	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.23	4.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.2)	4.38 ↓ (4.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
78.2%

Rinky Hijikata
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alexander Bublik - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Hijikata will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Hijikata (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Hijikata (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hijikata (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 10. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 117.

Bublik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hijikata is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bublik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bublik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Bublik	Canceled ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLW?L
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Rinky Hijikata - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Alexander Bublik	1:2

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