Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Court Suzanne-Lenglen (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Casper Ruud		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.55
	1.33	3.89
	1.31	3.48	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.32	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
73.2%

Tommy Paul
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 16. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 4.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ruud is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Casper Ruud - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 73.29%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Casper Ruud - Hamad Medjedovic	3:0 ✺
25.05.26	Casper Ruud - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.26	Casper Ruud - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Raphael Collignon - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
25.05.26	Rinky Hijikata - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
23.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
14.03.24	Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud	2:1
ATP Laver Cup
23.09.23	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud	2:3
ATP Australian Open
10.02.21	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	3:1
ATP Roland Garros
30.09.20	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	3:2
ATP Washington
31.07.17	Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired

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