Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.71	1.44	Watch
	2.54	1.56
	2.93	1.42	Watch
	2.52	1.53	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.9)	1.55 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
37.7%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shintaro Mochizuki - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 123. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 45.

Mochizuki has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mpetshi Perricard has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Shintaro Mochizuki	Mochizuki S. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
01.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Giulio Zeppieri	3:2 ✺
26.06.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?LWW
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
ATP London
17.06.25	Brandon Nakashima - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LL?LL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide