Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)


	Christian Garin		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.3
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.52
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.37	Watch
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.5)	3.33 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
71.8%

Mikhail Kukushkin
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikhail Kukushkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Christian Garin - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 35.2% – 92%.

#ad

Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kukushkin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Garin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Quentin Halys - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
20.04.24	Christian Garin - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Alexander Zverev - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 L?LWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Francisco Comesana - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
29.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Federico Coria - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?WL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
02.09.20	Mikhail Kukushkin - Christian Garin	3:2

Christian Garin - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide