Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich (Germany), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Referee: Nour A. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Christian Garin		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.6	1.56
	2.6	1.56
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.43	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.76)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
38.7%

Taylor Harry Fritz
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	0%	8.9%

Christian Garin - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 51 - 91.1%). Fritz will win (votes: 5 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 83.6% – 98.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garin is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fritz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fritz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fritz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Garin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Munich
19.04.24	Alexander Zverev - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Christian Garin - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
06.04.24	Christian Garin - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Christian Garin - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWLW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Munich
19.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Christian Garin	2:0
ATP Houston
08.04.22	Christian Garin - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1

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