Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Christian Garin		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.59	2.31	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	2.32 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
59.8%

Vilius Gaubas
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Christian Garin - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 214. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149.

Recent performances by Garin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gaubas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Gaubas could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Garin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Taro Daniel - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Christian Garin - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.25	Tommy Paul - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Christian Garin - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Jakub Paul - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

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