Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Christian Garin		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.72
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.53	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)	1.62 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
40.9%

Alexander Blockx
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Blockx could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Christian Garin - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Blockx will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 85. Blockx is ranked ATP: 69.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Blockx may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Blockx might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Blockx - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 63.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Christian Garin - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Christian Garin - Nicolas Jarry	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Christian Garin - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 L?LW?
- Alexander Blockx
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Christian Garin	0:2

Christian Garin - Alexander Blockx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide