Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Christian Garin		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	3.13	1.42
	2.88	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.64	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.31)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
33.8%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christian Garin's form might have worsened.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martin Etcheverry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christian Garin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Christian Garin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 147. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 43.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Etcheverry will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Santiago
24.02.25	Christian Garin - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Christian Garin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
31.01.25	Casper Ruud - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
08.04.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Christian Garin	2:1

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