Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.76	1.96
	1.86	1.96
	1.86	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
51.3%

Jaime Faria
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Faria will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 170. Faria is ranked ATP: 117.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Antoine Escoffier - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Jaime Faria - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Jaime Faria - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

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