Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Jordan Thompson		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	2.02	1.79	Watch
	2.01	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
47.6%

Alejandro Tabilo
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jordan Thompson - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tabilo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 2 - 50%). Tabilo (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 78. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Jordan Thompson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jordan Thompson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.41%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Raphael Collignon	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?LLWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	O'Connell C. retired ✺
12.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
12.03.23	Alejandro Tabilo - Jordan Thompson	2:0

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