Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Surbiton (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Noble S. (Gbr)


	Christopher OConnell		James Duckworth

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.82	1.9
	1.88	1.98
	1.88	1.98
	1.73	2
	1.77	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.4)	1.97 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
52.4%

James Duckworth
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christopher OConnell's form might have worsened.

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James Duckworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christopher OConnell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for James Duckworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Christopher OConnell - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. OConnell will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Duckworth will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

OConnell has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Duckworth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches OConnell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Filip Misolic - Christopher OConnell	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Christopher OConnell - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.24	Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ??LLL
- James Duckworth
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	James Duckworth - Maxime Janvier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Adam Walton - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
15.05.24	Arthur Fery - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
15.05.24	Ramkumar Ramanathan - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Mukund Sasikumar - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
30.08.22	James Duckworth - Christopher OConnell	3:1

Christopher OConnell - James Duckworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide