Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	3.05	1.33
	3.2	1.39
	3	1.34	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
30.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 213. Tirante is ranked ATP: 81.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tirante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tirante is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bueno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Pedro Didoni Bonini	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Valentin Royer - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2
13.08.22	Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2

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