Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Corentin Denolly		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	3	1.42
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.64)	1.42 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
34%

Mathys Erhard
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Corentin Denolly - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 320. Erhard is ranked ATP: 274.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Denolly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Erhard will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Sandro Kopp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Sebastian Gima - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL

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