Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Final

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jannik Sinner		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.04	13	Watch
			Watch
	1.03	12	Watch
	1.04	15.19
	1.03	12.91	Watch
	1.04	12.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.04)	13.04 ↑ (11.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
92.6%

Learner Tien
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.9%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Jannik Sinner - Learner Tien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5 Games - Sinner (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 2. Tien is ranked ATP: 52.

Now, both players are in good form.

Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.04 are the expected chance of winning is 91.9%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Beijing
30.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL
- Learner Tien
ATP Beijing
30.09.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. retired ✺
29.09.25	Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. retired ✺
27.09.25	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Learner Tien - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Valentin Royer - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 ??WWL

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