Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.53
	2.71	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.83)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
35.7%

Kamil Majchrzak
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kamil Majchrzak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Marco Trungelliti - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Majchrzak will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Majchrzak: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 117. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 53.

Trungelliti is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Majchrzak has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Majchrzak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Kamil Majchrzak - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.61%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Quentin Halys - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:0
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:1
ATP Challenger
09.03.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	0:2
02.03.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:0

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