Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Alex Michelsen		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.83	1.99	Watch
	1.79	2
	1.80	1.96	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.67)	1.98 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
52.2%

Corentin Moutet
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33. Moutet is ranked ATP: 44.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Michelsen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Michelsen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Toronto
04.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
27.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0

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