Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dalibor Svrcina		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.48	2.54
	1.4	2.84
	1.41	2.97
	1.51	2.49	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.41	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	2.72 ↑ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
65.5%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Dalibor Svrcina - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Svrcina (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dalibor Svrcina will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dalibor Svrcina will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 98. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 171.

Svrcina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Merida Aguilar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Svrcina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Svrcina will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Alexis Galarneau - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Antoine Escoffier - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Johannus Monday - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW

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