Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.14	1.69
	2.21	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.26	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
43.6%

Rinky Hijikata
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rinky Hijikata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Francesco Maestrelli - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Hijikata will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 3 - 50%). Hijikata (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 114. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 117.

Maestrelli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hijikata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hijikata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.67%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Michael Mmoh	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLW?
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

Francesco Maestrelli - Rinky Hijikata: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide