Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Alex De Minaur

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Shintaro Mochizuki
7.3%

Alex De Minaur
92.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

94%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 60%). De Minaur will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 112. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.

Mochizuki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

De Minaur has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Christopher OConnell - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.25	Alex De Minaur - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Christopher OConnell - Alex De Minaur	De Minaur A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLW?

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	✺

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur