Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday


	Arthur Fils		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.24	1.63	Watch
	2.27	1.7
	2.23	1.72	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.24	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
42.7%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Arthur Fils - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Rune will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 24. Rune is ranked ATP: 14.

Fils is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rune is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rune could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rune will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fils won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Arthur Fils - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired ✺
26.09.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 W?WWL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
19.07.24	Arthur Fils - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Rune H. retired
ATP Roma
12.05.23	Arthur Fils - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2

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