Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 16 July 2026, Thursday
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Daniel Merida Aguilar |
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Titouan Droguet |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Daniel Merida Aguilar
58.1% | Titouan Droguet
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Titouan Droguet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Titouan Droguet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- H/A, 1st Set - Droguet (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Daniel Merida Aguilar will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Droguet (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 82. Droguet is ranked ATP: 119.Merida Aguilar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Droguet is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Droguet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Titouan Droguet - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Bucharest | | | 03.04.26 | Titouan Droguet - Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2:1 | | ATP US Open | | | 21.08.25 | Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet | 2:1 | | ATP Challenger | | | 20.06.25 | Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet | 0:2 |
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