Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 2 July 2025, Wednesday
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Daniel Merida Aguilar |
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Federico Cina |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Daniel Merida Aguilar
57.6% | Federico Cina
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.Federico Cina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Cina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Cina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Daniel Merida Aguilar - Federico Cina Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Daniel Merida Aguilar will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 235. Cina is ranked ATP: 279.Merida Aguilar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Cina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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