Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.40	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.67
	2.57	1.53	Watch
	2.19	1.67
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.13)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
40.1%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roman Andres Burruchaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burruchaga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Merida Aguilar (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Burruchaga (votes: 1 - 25%). Merida Aguilar (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 67. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 82.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burruchaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Flavio Cobolli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Marco Cecchinato - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Roman Andres Burruchaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Ziga Sesko - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
29.06.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Ugo Carabelli C. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide