Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Daniel Michalski		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.16	1.39
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.93)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
30.6%

Arthur Gea
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Daniel Michalski - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gea will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 266. Gea is ranked ATP: 144.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gea is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Alastair Gray - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Karan Singh - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Yi Zhou - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLW?
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Sean Cuenin - Arthur Gea	Cuenin S. retired ✺
10.03.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLW?W

Upcoming Matches