Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Vallejo		Matias Soto

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.58
	1.28	3.32	Watch
	1.3	3.35	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	3.25 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
71.2%

Matias Soto
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matias Soto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Daniel Vallejo - Matias Soto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 253. Soto is ranked ATP: 280.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vallejo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vallejo might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWW
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Andrea Collarini - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Matias Soto - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Matias Soto - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL

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