Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Matias Soto		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.31	Watch
	1.64	2.35
	1.57	2.21	Watch
	1.57	2.32	Watch
	1.67	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	2.28 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
58.9%

Miguel Tobon
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Matias Soto - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tobon will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miguel Tobon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 286. Tobon is ranked ATP: 593.

Soto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tobon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Soto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Matias Soto - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Peter Makk - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.06.23	Matias Soto - Miguel Tobon	2:0

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