Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Daniil Glinka		Martin Damm

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.12	1.63	Watch
			Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.84)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
42.1%

Martin Damm
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Glinka's form might have worsened.

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Damm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Glinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Damm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniil Glinka - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Martin Damm will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 263. Damm is ranked ATP: 191.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Damm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Glinka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Martin Damm - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	George Loffhagen - Daniil Glinka	Loffhagen G. walkover ✺
21.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WW?WL
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Keegan Smith - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Charles Broom - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.09.23	Martin Damm - Daniil Glinka	2:0

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