Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Nour A. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:05	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:05	SportKlub
Brazil	15:05	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	21:05	Max Sport 1
Croatia	20:05	SportKlub
Czech Republic	20:05	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	20:05	TV2 Sport, TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:05	MTV Urheilu
France	20:05	Eurosport 1
Germany	20:05	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	20:05	Match 4
Portugal	19:05	Sport TV2, Sport TV5
Romania	21:05	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	20:05	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:05	SportKlub
Ukraine	21:05	Setanta Sports


	Daniil Medvedev		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.59	2.5
	1.61	2.47
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.59	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)	2.49 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
61.4%

Jiri Lehecka
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.9%	1.6%	52.5%

Daniil Medvedev - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 27 - 45.8%). Lehecka will win (votes: 32 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 41.5% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lehecka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Medvedev will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Rafael Nadal - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Jiri Lehecka - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Jiri Lehecka - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.24	Jiri Lehecka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
10.07.23	Daniil Medvedev - Jiri Lehecka	Lehecka J. retired

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	✺
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Basel
29.10.26	Daniel Altmaier - Jiri Lehecka	✺

Daniil Medvedev - Jiri Lehecka