Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.75	1.45
	2.58	1.54
	2.66	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.74	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.41)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
35.3%

Jacob Fearnley
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 52. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 130.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fearnley could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:3 ✺
27.05.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:3 ✺
24.05.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW

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