Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Luciano Darderi		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.63	1.5
	2.75	1.44
	2.45	1.47
	2.82	1.48
	2.72	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.78	1.45
	2.43	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.81)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
35.8%

Tommy Paul
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.9%	0%	91.1%

Luciano Darderi - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (40 of 43 users predict this - 93.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Darderi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Paul to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
16.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLW?
- Tommy Paul
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
07.07.24	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0 ✺
05.07.24	Tommy Paul - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
03.07.24	Tommy Paul - Otto Virtanen	3:2 ✺
01.07.24	Tommy Paul - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

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