Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Luciano Darderi		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.69
	1.55	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.57	2.43	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	2.53 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
62.4%

Jakub Mensik
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Luciano Darderi - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mensik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Umag
23.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
16.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLW?L
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Umag
22.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

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