Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Tomas Machac		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.73	2.1
	1.72	2.1
	1.71	2.11
	1.68	2.1
	1.73	2.1
	1.73	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)	2.1 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
55.1%

Denis Shapovalov
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac Tomas - withdrawn.

Machac is ranked ATP: 31. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 35.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machac won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
22.01.26	Tomas Machac - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 L?LWW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Dallas
14.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac	2:0

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