Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Denis Shapovalov		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.08	Watch
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.76	2.11	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.53)	2.07 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
54.2%

Raphael Collignon
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raphael Collignon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Denis Shapovalov - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 3 - 60%). Collignon (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23. Collignon is ranked ATP: 85.

Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shapovalov could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
18.12.25	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	0:0 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. retired ✺
23.10.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TL?WW
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Ethan Quinn - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Raphael Collignon - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Denis Shapovalov - Raphael Collignon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide