Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	21:35	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	08:35	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	14:35	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	13:35	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	13:35	TV2 Play
Finland	14:35	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	13:35	Eurosport 1
Germany	13:35	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	13:35	Ziggo Sport
Poland	13:35	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	12:35	Sport TV2
Romania	14:35	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	13:35	TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	12:35	Sky Sports Main Event


	Dino Prizmic		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.27	1.73
	2.21	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.51	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.41)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dino Prizmic
41%

Matteo Berrettini
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dino Prizmic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dino Prizmic than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Dino Prizmic - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Prizmic will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Prizmic: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Prizmic is ranked ATP: 87. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 92.

Recent performances by Prizmic have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Berrettini is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Berrettini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Berrettini is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dino Prizmic
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Mattia Bellucci - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Matteo Berrettini - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	Bautista-Agut R. Retired ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?LW?L

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dino Prizmic
ATP Challenger
31.10.26	Martin Damm - Dino Prizmic	✺
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Brandon Nakashima - Matteo Berrettini	✺

Dino Prizmic - Matteo Berrettini