Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finalsDate: 22 April 2026, Wednesday
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Raphael Collignon |
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Matteo Berrettini |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.8 |
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2 |
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1.83 |
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1.99 |
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1.85 |
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2.05 |
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1.8 |
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1.94 |
Watch |
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1.8 |
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2 |
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1.85 |
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2.04 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (2.12) |
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2 ↑ (1.75) |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Raphael Collignon 52.4% | Matteo Berrettini 47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Berrettini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Raphael Collignon - Matteo Berrettini Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Berrettini will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Collignon is ranked ATP: 71. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 92.In recent matches, Collignon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Berrettini has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Collignon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Raphael Collignon - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 45.17%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;