Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Dusan Lajovic		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.9
	1.92	1.85	Watch
	2	1.87
	1.86	1.93	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.94	1.86	Watch
	1.92	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.96)	1.9 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
49.9%

Jacob Fearnley
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Dusan Lajovic - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Fearnley will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajovic: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dusan Lajovic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 131. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 57.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.41%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
05.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW

Dusan Lajovic - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide