Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Matteo Berrettini		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.31	3.45	Watch
	1.33	3.64
	1.29	3.51	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.39	Watch
	1.31	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	3.44 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
72.3%

Jacob Fearnley
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Berrettini will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 30. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 57.

Recent performances by Berrettini have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fearnley is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired ✺
26.04.25	Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?WLWW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW

Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide